Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.059387 0.064281 0.069227 0.074592 0.080242 0.086006 0.092324
2025-02-16 0.053751 0.061143 0.068863 0.077501 0.086867 0.096689 0.107740
2025-02-23 0.045713 0.054560 0.064095 0.075072 0.087297 0.100432 0.115551
2025-03-02 0.040244 0.050205 0.061250 0.074292 0.089156 0.105461 0.124585
2025-03-09 0.035903 0.046691 0.058974 0.073814 0.091080 0.110363 0.133351
2025-03-16 0.033862 0.045628 0.059324 0.076191 0.096144 0.118752 0.146053
2025-03-23 0.031574 0.044045 0.058880 0.077481 0.099834 0.125502 0.156863
2025-03-30 0.029417 0.042436 0.058245 0.078408 0.102992 0.131569 0.166859
2025-04-06 0.026974 0.040277 0.056772 0.078172 0.104643 0.135781 0.174632
2025-04-13 0.025716 0.039543 0.056993 0.079954 0.108692 0.142827 0.185772
2025-04-20 0.023509 0.037399 0.055289 0.079208 0.109542 0.145961 0.192199
2025-04-27 0.021978 0.036060 0.054534 0.079585 0.111724 0.150671 0.200508
2025-05-04 0.020889 0.035301 0.054536 0.080970 0.115245 0.157136 0.211124
2025-05-11 0.020484 0.035478 0.055778 0.083977 0.120858 0.166244 0.225070
2025-05-18 0.018113 0.032673 0.052849 0.081370 0.119189 0.166236 0.227760
2025-05-25 0.016547 0.030943 0.051305 0.080526 0.119729 0.168945 0.233790
2025-06-01 0.015218 0.029479 0.050055 0.080010 0.120644 0.172095 0.240357
2025-06-08 0.014907 0.029571 0.051010 0.082517 0.125567 0.180380 0.253430
2025-06-15 0.014283 0.029123 0.051152 0.083878 0.128960 0.186717 0.264077
2025-06-22 0.013595 0.028526 0.051040 0.084856 0.131826 0.192380 0.273895
2025-06-29 0.012626 0.027401 0.050091 0.084606 0.132999 0.195833 0.280896
2025-07-06 0.012271 0.027284 0.050641 0.086488 0.137082 0.203098 0.292819
2025-07-13 0.011282 0.026011 0.049373 0.085700 0.137464 0.205490 0.298464